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Title |
Durability Prediction for Concrete Structures Exposed to Chloride Attack Using a Bayesian Approach
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Keywords |
부식 ; 베이지안 기법 ; 내구성 예측 ; 잔존수명 ; 모니터링 corrosion ; bayesian theory ; durability prediction ; remaining service life ; monitoring |
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Abstract |
This paper provides a new approach for predicting the corrosion resistivity of reinforced concrete structures exposed to chloride attack. In this method, the prediction can be updated successively by a Bayesian theory when additional data are available. The stochastic properties of model parameters are explicitly taken into account into the model. To simplify the procedure of the model, the probability of the durability limit is determined from the samples obtained from the Latin hypercube sampling technique. The new method may be very useful in designing important concrete structures and help to predict the remaining service life of existing concrete structures which have been monitored.
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